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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ahead of tonight’s GOP debate Ben Carson moves to within 4

SystemSystem Posts: 3,967
edited September 2015 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ahead of tonight’s GOP debate Ben Carson moves to within 4 points of Trump in New Hampshire

Ben Carson is closing in on Donald Trump in New Hampshire, according to a new poll out Wednesday, just hours before the candidates will face off against each other in the second Republican primary debate.

Read the full story here


«13

Comments

  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 6,648
    Two good articles from Nate Silver:

    1. on Hillary - in a self-perpetuating poll slump spiral but still the favorite to win

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/hillary-clinton-is-in-a-self-reinforcing-funk/

    2. on Trump - only 5% chance of the nomination:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2015/09/15/nate_silver_trump_has_about_5_chance_of_winning.html
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 6,648
    Nate Silver's point is that, historically, polling in September has virtually no predictive value for the outcome of the nomination races. He also underscores the huge in-built advantages of the Establishment candidates (essentially Bush and Clinton in this cycle) over the long haul of the nomination process, although this advantage, while huge, is no guarantee. Just ask Hillary (2008)
  • Blimey, just been reading about Carson. For a medical man, he is remarkably stupid. How he is able to just ignore scientific fact because of his 'faith' is, quite frankly, scary.

    Not someone I would ever want to see hold any power.
  • Fox News very influential on race.They like Carson but when push comes to shove will probably get behind Bush.The more leftish channels Bloomberg and NBC like Kasich.
  • But 538 (Nate Silver's blog site) ran a long article about why Trump was stupid to pick a fight with Fox news after the first debate because Trump would never win that fight........five days later Ailes threw in the towel, refused to back his presenters and Trump had another victory under his belt.

    That's not saying that Nate Silver's site is wrong with his analysis, just that the record with regard to Trump is not good.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 4,440
    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Welcome aboard.

    But 538 (Nate Silver's blog site) ran a long article about why Trump was stupid to pick a fight with Fox news after the first debate because Trump would never win that fight........five days later Ailes threw in the towel, refused to back his presenters and Trump had another victory under his belt.

    That's not saying that Nate Silver's site is wrong with his analysis, just that the record with regard to Trump is not good.

  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 9,334
    FPT: Condolences to Mr TimT on your loss and hope that life improves.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Heartfelt second.
    Cyclefree said:

    FPT: Condolences to Mr TimT on your loss and hope that life improves.

  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    Blimey, just been reading about Carson. For a medical man, he is remarkably stupid. How he is able to just ignore scientific fact because of his 'faith' is, quite frankly, scary.

    Not someone I would ever want to see hold any power.

    What have you read which leads you to this? Any useful links please?

    (a perfectly genuine question - I quite liked what little I knew about him but haven't read around the candidate at all)
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 10,190

    Heartfelt second.

    Cyclefree said:

    FPT: Condolences to Mr TimT on your loss and hope that life improves.

    Yes. Agree.
  • GeoffM said:

    Blimey, just been reading about Carson. For a medical man, he is remarkably stupid. How he is able to just ignore scientific fact because of his 'faith' is, quite frankly, scary.

    Not someone I would ever want to see hold any power.

    What have you read which leads you to this? Any useful links please?

    (a perfectly genuine question - I quite liked what little I knew about him but haven't read around the candidate at all)
    Only his Wiki entry (which, of course, may not be entirely without bias)

    But for a man with a scientific background to be a denier of evolution is deeply scary - as is his linking of marriage equality with bestiality.
  • But 538 (Nate Silver's blog site) ran a long article about why Trump was stupid to pick a fight with Fox news after the first debate because Trump would never win that fight........five days later Ailes threw in the towel, refused to back his presenters and Trump had another victory under his belt.

    That's not saying that Nate Silver's site is wrong with his analysis, just that the record with regard to Trump is not good.

    Greetings Pete, but can you please clarify whether you are really an ex-pat or an immigrant?
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 5,364
    MikeL said:

    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

    Who is running Corbyn's team in Labour's inner circle.
  • MikeL said:

    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

    Who is running Corbyn's team in Labour's inner circle.
    No-one... it would seem
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    MikeL said:

    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

    There is no reason to believe there will ever be a social Europe like Corbyn hopes for.
  • MP_SE said:

    MikeL said:

    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

    There is no reason to believe there will ever be a social Europe like Corbyn hopes for.
    How many u-turns is that since he took over?

    Shambles is a kind description
  • Year in Year out, Arsenal bed-block the Champions League with their raking in of £ and little else.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 38,234
    I certainly think Carson is a good bet to take one of Iowa or NH but he does not have the money or name recognition or political experience to go all the way. Trump remains frontrunner for the GOP nomination but he also has a very colourful past which could come back to haunt him at any time
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Year in Year out, Arsenal bed-block the Champions League with their raking in of £ and little else.

    Give the Foxes a chance! Arsenal up next at home for us, and hopefully they will rest a few players for the CL on the Tuesday.

    All hail the Tinkerman!
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 16,095
    edited September 2015
    MikeL said:

    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

    Does this put Corbyn in conflict with the unions then, if Cameron gets changes in EU employment rights?

    Spectacular....
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    MikeL said:

    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

    Does this put Corbyn in conflict with the unions then, if Cameron gets changes in EU employment rights?

    Spectacular....
    Corbyn just lost his only card.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    GeoffM said:

    Blimey, just been reading about Carson. For a medical man, he is remarkably stupid. How he is able to just ignore scientific fact because of his 'faith' is, quite frankly, scary.

    Not someone I would ever want to see hold any power.

    What have you read which leads you to this? Any useful links please?

    (a perfectly genuine question - I quite liked what little I knew about him but haven't read around the candidate at all)
    Only his Wiki entry (which, of course, may not be entirely without bias)

    But for a man with a scientific background to be a denier of evolution is deeply scary - as is his linking of marriage equality with bestiality.
    Thanks for the reply! I've read the entry you're talking about and yes the evolution statement is a bit off-putting. I'm more concerned about his flip-flopping on issues though. Anyone who keeps apologising for things he believes in is useless.
  • Year in Year out, Arsenal bed-block the Champions League with their raking in of £ and little else.

    At least Arsenal get into the CL.
  • Year in Year out, Arsenal bed-block the Champions League with their raking in of £ and little else.

    Give the Foxes a chance! Arsenal up next at home for us, and hopefully they will rest a few players for the CL on the Tuesday.

    All hail the Tinkerman!
    Feel free to turn them over big-style!!!
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    I will be watching the debate tonight, from the sounds of it Trump will attack Fiorina as a useless and corrupt CEO that destroyed the companies she worked for, while Fiorina will attack Trump as a sexist b@stard along with the CNN moderators.

    As for that WBUR New Hampshire poll, they have never done a poll before so we can't compare it with anything.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 8,100
    edited September 2015

    Year in Year out, Arsenal bed-block the Champions League with their raking in of £ and little else.

    At least Arsenal get into the CL.
    Tell me. I'm massively jealous of course.

    Shame they can't be arsed to do anything other than 'bank' once there.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Metatron said:

    Fox News very influential on race.They like Carson but when push comes to shove will probably get behind Bush.The more leftish channels Bloomberg and NBC like Kasich.

    None of them will ever win:

    https://www.opendemocracy.net/ourkingdom/joe-sandler-clarke/journalism-in-age-of-corbyn

    "Political journalists have failed to predict all of the major events of the last year. They need to start asking themselves serious questions."
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Year in Year out, Arsenal bed-block the Champions League with their raking in of £ and little else.

    Give the Foxes a chance! Arsenal up next at home for us, and hopefully they will rest a few players for the CL on the Tuesday.

    All hail the Tinkerman!
    Feel free to turn them over big-style!!!
    Your wish is our command!
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited September 2015
    Uh, Corbyn should keep himself away from the Tsipras rhetoric of "we have no alternative we have to stay and hope for the best", no one ,however a party fanatic, will ever support that.
  • Speedy said:

    MikeL said:

    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

    Does this put Corbyn in conflict with the unions then, if Cameron gets changes in EU employment rights?

    Spectacular....
    Corbyn just lost his only card.
    He's flip-flopping on policy so much (oh, and singing, while we're at it) - are we sure Burnham lost?
  • Corbin did steady the ship slightly with his PMQs approach today (though it will wear thin if he carries on in the same vein). However, the ship continues to spring more and more leaks every day...
  • OK, so I have now watched PMQs. JC did well for a first outing, and it wasn't just him reading out the questions he had been sent (mine didn't get picked - and it wasn't the one about Social Democracy and Democratic Socialism either!).

    Next up - conference. Maybe we will see some theatrical walk-outs or tearing up of party membership cards by the Blairite residue.

    As an aside, will the BBC bother to cover the Lib Dem conference this year? It ought not get much more coverage than the Greens get together.
  • MP_SE said:

    MikeL said:

    CORBYN WILL NOT CAMPAIGN TO LEAVE THE EU:

    "Speaking to the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg later on Wednesday, Mr Corbyn insisted he would not campaign for the UK to leave the European Union, while vowing to fight any moves towards a more free-market relationship."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34264683

    There is no reason to believe there will ever be a social Europe like Corbyn hopes for.
    The policy seems to now be "If I don't like Cameron's renegotiation [he won't] then I need to campaign to stay in Europe so that I can go back to Europe if I win and renegotiate again to change what Cameron negotiated and negotiate a different deal." Tortuous, much?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 62,039
    edited September 2015
    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 5,364
    If Corbyn achieved anything ... PMQ's was deadly boring, Corbyn droned on trying to play man of the people.

    FWIW Corbyn is a condemned man, out of his own mouth and by his actions. He is on political death row. What he achieved today was a stay of execution/.
  • Anyone got any industrial strength mind bleach?
  • SeanTSeanT Posts: 20,277
    Catastrophic News at Ten for Corbyn. Again.
  • Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    I thought nothing could be more horrifying than John and Edwina.... I was wrong.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 38,234
    SeanT said:

    Catastrophic News at Ten for Corbyn. Again.

    Ummed and erred about whether he would kneel before the Queen at the PC, said he would 'consult with colleagues', perhaps he could nod?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 11,961
    edited September 2015
    1. Jezza is a charmless git (interview with Laura K).
    2. To be fair to the Beeb, they included the DUP question/statement.
    3. It struck me that, given how politicians in office (even in opposition) age dramatically (GO excepted), what on earth will Jezza look like in a year's time?

    (Edit: 4. Arsenal are cr4p)
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Bit of a ladies man isn't he!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 38,234

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Thankyou for that image, it is almost as offputting as John Major and Edwina Currie
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    That was a very uncomfortable interview that Corbyn did, the awkwardness oozed out especially of the privy council.
  • Q4: Do you trust The Times to know how to spell 'economy'?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 34,492
    @simonsketch: The Tory trajectory is the opposite of the usual. 1) Hung parliament. 2) Slim majority. 3) Landslide.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 38,234
    Carson takes lead in Michigan in new Marketing Resource Group poll

    Carson – 24%
    Trump – 22%
    Bush – 8%
    Huckabee – 6%
    Rubio – 4%
    Cruz – 3%
    Fiorina – 3%
    Kasich – 2%
    Paul – 2%
    Walker – 2%
    Christie – 1%
    Gilmore – 0%
    Graham – 0%
    Jindal – 0%
    Pataki – 0%
    Santorum – 0%
    Undecided – 21%
    http://www.mlive.com/lansing-news/index.ssf/2015/09/ben_carson_donald_trump_michigan.html
  • SeanTSeanT Posts: 20,277
    lol. Disastrous polling on the economy - which is the killer. Most people don't care about the IRA/Hamas stuff (sadly).

    The economy they do care about. If he leads Labour into 2020 they will be annihilated.
  • A majority of voters (54 per cent) say that they do not trust Mr Corbyn to take the right decisions on defence compared with 20 per cent who do.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 9,334

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Please tell me that's a wind-up.........

  • Only 22 per cent trust Mr Corbyn to take the right decisions on terrorism against 49 per cent who do not trust him to do so.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Revolting.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 13,546
    Economic trust at 23% gives Labour a ceiling of about 27% on election day.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 28,253
    The only way is up for Jeremy. For a time at least.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    MP_SE said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Revolting.
    No comment.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 13,546
    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Please tell me that's a wind-up.........

    No, it's a rumour that has been doing the rounds for a few years. I guess The Times finally found someone willing to give, err, eyewitness statements.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 28,253
    Would Carson be better than Corbyn? All political questions must now be frame in terms of Corbyn.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 34,492
    Jeremy Corbyn’s economic policies would “hurt” the poor and elderly and “imperil” Britain's economic recovery, the Bank of England governor has suggested.

    Mark Carney indicated that said that the plans put forward by the new Labour leader and John McDonnell would increase inflation and could in turn hit the economy.

    The comments, made during an appearance at the Treasury select committee, will further undermine Mr Corbyn’s economic credentials.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11870215/Jeremy-Corbyns-policies-will-hurt-economy-Mark-Carney-suggests.html
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,057
    The happy hour debate is now 40 minutes away - CNN has been camped out in Simi Valley for 3 days pushing this debate. Quite amazing.
  • Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Please tell me that's a wind-up.........

    I wish it was. It's true.

    Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott bumped uglies, they played hide the purple parsnip etc
  • Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Now there’s a comment I wished I hadn’t read…
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 9,334

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Bit of a ladies man isn't he!
    They must be blind - or desperate.

  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Speedy said:

    That was a very uncomfortable interview that Corbyn did, the awkwardness oozed out especially of the privy council.

    It just points out the utterly undemocratic nature of the United Kingdom. If being a democrat prevents you from any office of state, the country needs reformed.

    The Oath of Allegiance and membership of the Privy Council need abolished,
  • SeanTSeanT Posts: 20,277
    Speedy said:

    That was a very uncomfortable interview that Corbyn did, the awkwardness oozed out especially of the privy council.

    Trouble for Corbyn is that instead of looking lovably avuncular in that interview, he looks shifty, doddery, mildly disloyal - and, worst of all, plain stupid.

  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 3,150

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Well if they were, what the hell. I can't hold that against them. Hope they enjoyed it.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 5,364
    OMHG.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Bit of a ladies man isn't he!
    They must be blind - or desperate.

    His 3rd wife is quite a stunner (awaits brickbats!) and dresses smartly. He must have something going for him!
  • MaxPB said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Please tell me that's a wind-up.........

    No, it's a rumour that has been doing the rounds for a few years. I guess The Times finally found someone willing to give, err, eyewitness statements.
    If I read the Times story, it is Randy Jezbollah's first wife who has spilled the beans

    She's said that she separated from her husband because his commitment to politics meant he never took her to the cinema or nightclubs.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 9,334
    SeanT said:

    lol. Disastrous polling on the economy - which is the killer. Most people don't care about the IRA/Hamas stuff (sadly).

    The economy they do care about. If he leads Labour into 2020 they will be annihilated.
    They do care, though, about whether he can be trusted on terrorism. And they don't think he can (according to this poll, anyway).

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 34,492
    The Scottish secretary will use a keynote speech marking the first anniversary of the referendum to launch a scathing attack on the first minister’s enthusiasm for another vote on independence.

    Mr Mundell, who will be speaking at the University of Edinburgh, will mock assurances that the poll was a once-in-a-lifetime event and state: “The sovereign will of the Scottish people is set aside as though it counted for nothing and the first minister openly acknowledges that she’ll try to hold a second referendum just as soon as she thinks she has a chance of winning it.

    “It is as though the votes of two million Scots can just be set aside as an unfortunate but peripheral setback on the road to independence.”
    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/uk/scotland/article4559184.ece
  • Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Please tell me that's a wind-up.........

    I wish it was. It's true.

    Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott bumped uglies, they played hide the purple parsnip etc
    To paraphrase one of your previous comments TSE.
    Did they go Baker Street?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 28,253

    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Bit of a ladies man isn't he!
    They must be blind - or desperate.

    His 3rd wife is quite a stunner (awaits brickbats!) and dresses smartly. He must have something going for him!
    Ed seemed to have little trouble engaging the affections of accomplished, attractive women as well.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Can still get 14/1 on SportingBet for Carson. Fill your boots.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 6,636
    Why would the Times commission a poll but NOT include a proper voting intention question?!?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 34,492
    SeanT said:

    Trouble for Corbyn is that instead of looking lovably avuncular in that interview, he looks shifty, doddery, mildly disloyal - and, worst of all, plain stupid.

    @theobertram: There were parts of that interview where all you could hear is the rain. And even the rain felt awkward.
  • SeanTSeanT Posts: 20,277
    Dair said:

    Speedy said:

    That was a very uncomfortable interview that Corbyn did, the awkwardness oozed out especially of the privy council.

    It just points out the utterly undemocratic nature of the United Kingdom. If being a democrat prevents you from any office of state, the country needs reformed.

    The Oath of Allegiance and membership of the Privy Council need abolished,
    They can be abolished when the UK - or some future iScotland - elects a republican party that then dispenses with the monarchy after a referendum. And when that happens, fair dos.

    Until that moment, fuck off. We are a monarchy, and the monarchy enjoys support that politicians can only dream of. What's more, the people's instincts are right: a list of the most contented, prosperous nations on earth shows a preponderance of monarchies. From Australia to Canada, from Sweden to Denmark.

    God Save The Queen
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 11,961
    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Bit of a ladies man isn't he!
    They must be blind - or desperate.

    His 3rd wife is quite a stunner (awaits brickbats!) and dresses smartly. He must have something going for him!
    Ed seemed to have little trouble engaging the affections of accomplished, attractive women as well.
    And of course several people in Chelsea kit followed the established political tradition by scoring tonight.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 13,546
    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    That was a very uncomfortable interview that Corbyn did, the awkwardness oozed out especially of the privy council.

    Trouble for Corbyn is that instead of looking lovably avuncular in that interview, he looks shifty, doddery, mildly disloyal - and, worst of all, plain stupid.

    Personall, I think he is just a thicko. A well meaning thicko who thinks he is doing "the right thing" like thicko lefties usually do.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 5,364

    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Please tell me that's a wind-up.........

    I wish it was. It's true.

    Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott bumped uglies, they played hide the purple parsnip etc
    To paraphrase one of your previous comments TSE.
    Did they go Baker Street?
    LOOK.. Some of us are about to get some zzz's , such a disgusting thought will keep people awake with its vileness.. Eeeewwwwwwwwww...
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 13,546
    Danny565 said:

    Why would the Times commission a poll but NOT include a proper voting intention question?!?

    YouGov. Would you trust it? I wouldn't.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 28,253
    Danny565 said:

    Why would the Times commission a poll but NOT include a proper voting intention question?!?

    To punish us.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 9,334

    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Bit of a ladies man isn't he!
    They must be blind - or desperate.

    His 3rd wife is quite a stunner (awaits brickbats!) and dresses smartly. He must have something going for him!
    Well, on a serious note, yes he must have. The most stunning women often have the most unlikely and rather odd/plain looking partners. Mind you, a sense of humour, charm, kindness and oodles of sex appeal go a long way.

    The mysteries of attraction, eh!

  • Speedy said:

    That was a very uncomfortable interview that Corbyn did, the awkwardness oozed out especially of the privy council.

    I was gobsmacked at just how uncomfortable he looked in that bit. At times he looked genuinely quite unsettled by the whole thing.

    After yesterday's headlines, Im dumbfounded that he hadn't got some pre-prepared line on the monarchy. Something along the lines of: "I obviously hold personal views and I do find the concept of hereditary position rather archaic, however I appreciate a lot of people in the country feel differently. I don't want my personal views to get in the way of the big issues that I want to bring up as leader of the opposition, and I will out of respect for my role as leader of the opposition abide by the traditions of our current system." Ok, it's a bit blustery and maybe a bit disingenuous, but that would be an answer that would close things down a bit more.

    As it is, he looks shifty, evasive and reinforces all the negative perceptions.
  • Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    So that's 2 of the 3 hard lefties in the cabinet.... menage?

    Elsewhere Polly is once again off and retweeting anything to support someone who she surely had no belief in at all - what is it about guardianistas and their moral compass?

    Whose the repugnant red Tory tycoon threatening the increasingly impressive JC who is a shoo-in to stay to 2020 I would not suggest surely.

  • Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Please tell me that's a wind-up.........

    I wish it was. It's true.

    Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott bumped uglies, they played hide the purple parsnip etc
    To paraphrase one of your previous comments TSE.
    Did they go Baker Street?
    Yellow Card!

    (and it's change at Baker Street)
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 6,636
    MaxPB said:

    Danny565 said:

    Why would the Times commission a poll but NOT include a proper voting intention question?!?

    YouGov. Would you trust it? I wouldn't.
    Even if nothing else, polls would still be useful to monitor trends and see if any particular event causes a strong reaction.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 38,234
    edited September 2015

    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Please tell me that's a wind-up.........

    I wish it was. It's true.

    Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott bumped uglies, they played hide the purple parsnip etc
    One image I did not want tonight is Diane Abbott playing with Jeremy Corbyn's purple parsnip!
  • Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    So that's 2 of the 3 hard lefties in the cabinet.... menage?

    Elsewhere Polly is once again off and retweeting anything to support someone who she surely had no belief in at all - what is it about guardianistas and their moral compass?

    Whose the repugnant red Tory tycoon threatening the increasingly impressive JC who is a shoo-in to stay to 2020 I would not suggest surely.

    twitter.com/suttonnick/status/644259816739864580/photo/1
    Assem Allam
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 38,234
    MaxPB said:

    Economic trust at 23% gives Labour a ceiling of about 27% on election day.

    Exactly the score Foot got
  • Apologies TSE, I couldn't resist it :-)
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 6,636
    edited September 2015
    Yet again, this theory about a new SDP-style party is undone by the fact there quite clearly isn't the public demand for one - as shown by the fact that the most centrist party just got its worst result in 45 years at this year's general election, and the fact no-one was enthused enough to sign up for the SDP-style candidate in the Labour leadership contest even with votes onsale for just £3.
  • notmenotme Posts: 2,318
    Scott_P said:

    @simonsketch: The Tory trajectory is the opposite of the usual. 1) Hung parliament. 2) Slim majority. 3) Landslide.

    Wasnt it:
    1) modest majority
    2) landslide
    3) landslide
    4) slim majority
    5) #epicfail
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 38,234
    Danny565 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Danny565 said:

    Why would the Times commission a poll but NOT include a proper voting intention question?!?

    YouGov. Would you trust it? I wouldn't.
    Even if nothing else, polls would still be useful to monitor trends and see if any particular event causes a strong reaction.
    Indeed Reachtel had a voting intention poll out in Australia today measuring reaction to Abbott's ousting and Turnbull only became leader on Monday, Corbyn was elected on Saturday
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 62,039
    edited September 2015

    Apologies TSE, I couldn't resist it :-)

    Don't worry.

    I will in no way make any smutty innuendos about this in any upcoming thread headers.

    Tomorrow will Corbyn talk about pulling out of Diane Abbott The EU?
  • SeanTSeanT Posts: 20,277

    Cyclefree said:

    Ewww The Times are reporting Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott were lovers in the late 70s

    Bit of a ladies man isn't he!
    They must be blind - or desperate.

    His 3rd wife is quite a stunner (awaits brickbats!) and dresses smartly. He must have something going for him!
    He definitely has the touch. His wife was in the audience for his acceptance speech, and she is genuinely attractive. And he is 66!

    For all his faults, Corbyn is comfortable in his skin, and clearly confident in his beliefs, and has a roguish look. He is also quite alpha - look at him in the photos of the new Shadow Cabinet, he looks like the aged lion in charge of a bizarre pride.

    But this socialist charm does not translate to national votes. There are lots of alpha males on fringe politics, left and right. They are attracted to the confused poontang. Read across for religious cults.
  • Jeremy Corbyn MP @jeremyc0rbyn
    Let's face it, I've shagged everyone. #Jezza
    Retweeted by Toby Young
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